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College admission offers may get easier

Nov 29, 2013 by

A dip in the number of high school graduates nationwide this school year may make it easier for applicants to receive acceptance offers from many good colleges.

After a long stretch of rising competition in college admissions, the numbers this year may be on the side of students like Davone Morales, an Eagle Rock High School senior. He and his classmates nationwide are lucky to be part of the smallest group in years applying to college.

The population dip won’t bust open the doors to Stanford, Harvard, UCLA and other highly selective campuses. But many experts predict it will be somewhat easier to obtain admission offers from many good, even competitive, schools. And colleges, particularly private ones that are not the top brand names, are working harder to court applicants, recruiting farther from their campuses and sweetening financial aid offers.

To students, the demographic dip offers a bit of hope after months of writing essays, taking entrance exams and gathering recommendation letters. This is crunch time for these seniors: University of California applications are due Saturday and the deadline for most private colleges is weeks later. Students typically don’t find out where they’ve been accepted until the spring.

The dip in applicants “may help you get into certain colleges except for the Ivy Leagues, but it’s still a really stressful time,” said Morales, who is applying to UC and California State campuses and such private schools as USC, Syracuse, George Washington and American to study broadcast journalism.

The numbers of high school graduates across the country rose from 2.6 million in 1996-97 to a peak of 3.4 million in 2010-11, as the children of later baby boomers matured into 12th-graders. Then a decline began and the low point will be this year’s 3.2 million nationally, according to a report by the Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education. The incoming college freshman pool may shrink further since Latinos comprise a rising portion of high school graduates but enroll in college at relatively low rates.

“Students and families are a little more in the driver’s seat than they were a few years ago,” said Brian Prescott, the Western Interstate official who co-authored the report, “Knocking at the College Door.” Chances will be somewhat better for students to be admitted to schools higher on their wish lists than older siblings faced, he said.

Although high school seniors believe they have a monopoly on anxiety, many colleges face uncertainty about filling a freshman class and getting enough tuition revenue, said David Hawkins, director of public policy and research at the National Assn. for College Admission Counseling.

“Historically, admissions officers are very sensitive to the fluctuation of the population of high school graduates and know that in lean times the level of competition among colleges for students tends to ramp up,” he said.

A recent survey of 381 colleges found unease in admissions offices: 76% of schools reported they were moderately or very concerned about meeting their new student enrollment goals and only 10% said they were not concerned at all.

via College admission offers may get easier to obtain –

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