Graduate Students Debunk Study by Professors that Claimed Link between Trump Rallies and Rise in Hate Crimes

Sep 17, 2019 by

Another day, another debunked liberal study. This time, graduate students debunk a study that claimed Trump rallies led to an increase in hate crimes.

This past March, a joint study by two University of North Texas professors and one assistant professor from Texas A&M University-Commerce claimed that they found evidence of Trump political rallies leading to a spike in hate crimes. Specifically, the study said that when a county hosted a Trump rally between 2015 to 2016, the county saw an astronomical 226% increase in hate crimes after the rally.

Despite the possibility of the 226% statistic being an outlier—as is common in studies, research, and statistics—the professors allegedly sent their results to the media before the research was vetted in the academic peer-review process. Oftentimes in statistics, a large outlier statistic such as this is noted as an outlier and researchers typically double-check and vet the outlier to ensure there are no mistakes in their research.

The study, entitled, “The Trump Effect: How 2016 Campaign Rallies Explain Spikes in Hate,” was co-authored by assistant professor Ayal Feinberg at Texas A&M University-Commerce, and University of North Texas professors Regina Branton and Valerie Martinez-Ebers. The study used hate crime reports from the Anti-Defamation League in the counties which hosted 300 Trump rallies between 2015 and 2016.

Two graduate students, Matthew Lilley and Brian Wheaton, published their rebuttal to the anti-Trump study in the libertarian-leaning Reason Magazine. They analyzed the study’s results referring to Trump rallies and hate crimes and compared those data points to counties which hosted rallies for then-candidate Hillary Clinton during the same time frame.

What did these graduate students discover? The study’s findings proved the opposite: Hillary Clinton’s rallies led to “an even greater increase in hate incidents than Trump rallies.”

The students noted that the original research did not take into account a simple principle: If a county has a high population, there is most likely a greater number of hate crimes reported when compared to a lesser-populated county (and therefore, a county that has a fewer number of hate crimes reported).

In their zeal to prove anti-Trumpism correct, it appears that the three professors in Texas did not account for simple statistical principles in publishing their flawed initial findings that claimed Trump rallies led to a spike in hate crimes reported.

Source: Graduate Students Debunk Study by Professors that Claimed Link between Trump Rallies and Rise in Hate Crimes

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