Math from Super Tues. II

Mar 16, 2016 by


“Math from Super Tues. II”

By Donna Garner



[At the time of this writing at 3.16.16, 8:44 A. M., the delegate counts are not yet 100% in Florida, Illinois, and Ohio.  Missouri is still not final either since Trump has 40.8% and Cruz has 40.6% of the vote.]


If all delegate counts for Cruz, Rubio, Kasich, Carson, Uncommitted, Bush, Fiorina, Huckabee, and Paul were added together, Cruz would have 721.


Cruz would beat Trump by 102 delegates.


This is why unifying behind Ted Cruz is the best way to stop Trump before the Republican Convention!


DELEGATE COUNTS FROM 3.15.16 – Super Tues. II


Trump – 621

Cruz – 396

Rubio – 168

Kasich – 138

Carson – 8

Uncommitted – 6

Bush – 4

Fiorina – 1

Huckabee – 1

Paul – 1




Excerpts from these articles:


3.15.16 – Texas Tribune


The U.S. senator from Texas [Ted Cruz] was on track to collect the most delegates behind Trump, who took another big step toward the nomination with victories in Florida, Illinois and North Carolina.

Cruz was closest to a win in Missouri, where he trailed Trump by less than one point with 99 percent of precincts reporting.

“Tonight was good night for us,” Cruz declared at his election night party. “Tonight we continued to gain delegates and continue our march to 1,237.”

After losing Florida, Rubio announced he was leaving the race…Cruz bid Rubio farewell with a statement commending him for running “an optimistic campaign focused on the future of our party, conservative principles, and uplifting the American people.”

“Starting tomorrow morning, every Republican has a clear choice: Only two campaigns have a plausible path to the nomination, ours and Donald Trump’s,” Cruz added. “Nobody else has any mathematical possibility whatsoever.”

Cruz wasted no time appealing to former Rubio supporters, telling them from the stage in Houston that he welcomes them “with open arms” to join the fight against Trump.

Cruz’s campaign moved quickly Tuesday night to paint Kasich as a nonfactor, saying it would be a statistical impossibility for him to clinch the nomination before the convention. Cruz strategist Jason Johnson told reporters the Ohio governor was essentially chasing a “dream” of being president.



3.15.16 – Austin American-Statesman —

As the night’s results unfolded, Roe [Cruz’s campaign manager] said the race will now pivot in Cruz’s direction, with Florida U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio bowing out of the race after a sound thrashing by Trump in his home state, and with Ohio Gov. John Kasich having won only his home state of Ohio and without the resources, organization or prospects of Cruz in upcoming contests.

“Kasich, if he has a one-state win, his own state, and he gets nothing else and and is third or fourth in most states, the math is overwhelming and I don’t know how he is going to stay in,” Roe said.

Roe said that while the South has finished voting, Cruz is still well-positioned because 14 of the remaining 22 contests only allow Republicans to participate in the party’s voting, and another four only allow Republicans or independents to vote. Trump does best where Democrats can cross over and participate.

Asked about the Texan’s chances in the Northeastern states of New York, Pennsylvania and Connecticut — all of which have closed primaries — Roe said, “any state where you have to be a Republican to vote in the primary is a great state for us.”

“We believe there is a path for two candidates after tonight who can solve this where it should be, which is among the voters, and if we’re not able to get those numbers then we’ll prepare for a convention, and I think that’s less than a 50 percent chance (of it going to a contested convention),” Roe said. “But there is a chance that we will end up there and then we’ll see who has the most delegates going into that.”

Roe said money and support has come their way as it has become apparent that Cruz is the best hope of stopping Trump, and, as the focus sharpens on the prospect of “Donald Trump as the nominee, we’re gaining support from some of the more unlikely sources,” though he said, “there are no big surprises pending” in terms of big-name endorsements.

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